Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Le Havre
26.3%
Draw
53.4%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Le Havre
vs
1.44
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).