Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Red Star
24.2%
Draw
20.8%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Red Star
vs
0.79
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).