Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Santander
16.5%
Draw
14.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Santander
vs
1.12
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
1-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
4-0
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).