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28 Jan 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Eldense
27.5%
Draw
47.1%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Eldense

vs
1.35

Espanol

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).