Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Eldense
31.0%
Draw
40.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Eldense
vs
1.07
Burgos
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).