Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Arbroath
23.0%
Draw
17.9%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Arbroath
vs
1.15
Alloa
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).