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AHT: 02

26 Oct 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.9%
Luzern
17.4%
Draw
11.7%
Yverdon Sport

Expected Goals (xG)

2.82

Luzern

vs
1.15

Yverdon Sport

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.7%
Over 3.556.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
4-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).