Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Oxford
19.1%
Draw
18.0%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Oxford
vs
0.97
Burton
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).