Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Bournemouth
24.7%
Draw
15.9%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Bournemouth
vs
0.80
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).