Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
West Ham
24.6%
Draw
56.4%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
West Ham
vs
1.95
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).