Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Thun
25.1%
Draw
18.1%
St. Gallen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Thun
vs
1.06
St. Gallen
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-2
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).