Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Carrarese
31.9%
Draw
38.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Carrarese
vs
1.17
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).