Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Tranmere
22.8%
Draw
35.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Tranmere
vs
1.49
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).