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07 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
Watford
24.9%
Draw
18.7%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Watford

vs
0.92

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).