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HHT: 12CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Fylde
26.3%
Draw
39.2%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Fylde

vs
1.54

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).