Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Barcelona
16.5%
Draw
11.2%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Barcelona
vs
0.93
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).