Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Morecambe
26.8%
Draw
48.0%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Morecambe
vs
1.35
Bolton
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).