Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Aldershot
16.1%
Draw
11.7%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Aldershot
vs
1.10
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
4-0
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).