Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Valladolid
21.7%
Draw
52.8%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Valladolid
vs
1.96
Castellon
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).