Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Dumbarton
21.0%
Draw
17.8%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Dumbarton
vs
1.12
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).