Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
33.9%
Draw
41.1%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
1.35
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.1%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).