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AHT: 01CSV

02 Mar 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.0%
Heidenheim
19.6%
Draw
63.5%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Heidenheim

vs
2.38

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
0-4
3.8%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).