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22 Nov 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Cracovia Kraków
28.0%
Draw
26.4%
Motor Lublin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Cracovia Kraków

vs
1.08

Motor Lublin

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).