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10 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Standard
30.4%
Draw
31.0%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Standard

vs
1.00

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).