Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Amorebieta
33.2%
Draw
40.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Amorebieta
vs
0.98
Burgos
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
0-1
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).