Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Monaco
18.6%
Draw
12.3%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Monaco
vs
0.75
Nantes
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).