Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
28.4%
Draw
32.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.20
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).