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19 Feb 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.4%
Ionikos
28.7%
Draw
42.9%
OFI Crete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Ionikos

vs
1.42

OFI Crete

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).