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14 Apr 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Zagłębie Lubin
27.2%
Draw
19.6%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.87

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).