Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Spartans
27.3%
Draw
24.6%
Edinburgh City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Spartans
vs
1.22
Edinburgh City
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).