Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Leverkusen
25.8%
Draw
16.0%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Leverkusen
vs
0.75
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).