Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Sassuolo
18.9%
Draw
15.3%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Sassuolo
vs
0.95
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).