Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
AVS
24.3%
Draw
47.2%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
AVS
vs
1.54
Estrela
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).