Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Roma
21.3%
Draw
10.6%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Roma
vs
0.53
Venezia
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).