Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Crawley Town
21.0%
Draw
52.8%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Crawley Town
vs
1.84
Charlton
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).