Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Holstein Kiel
23.8%
Draw
45.5%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.85
Mainz
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).