Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Hull
26.7%
Draw
43.2%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Hull
vs
1.55
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).