Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Valladolid
24.8%
Draw
28.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Valladolid
vs
1.16
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).