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AHT: 10CSV

19 Aug 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Erzurum BB
29.0%
Draw
54.7%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Erzurum BB

vs
1.75

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).