Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Portimonense
25.7%
Draw
25.9%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Portimonense
vs
0.96
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).