Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Elversberg
22.6%
Draw
13.8%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Elversberg
vs
0.82
Ulm
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).