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23 Feb 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Cosenza
26.2%
Draw
57.5%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Cosenza

vs
1.68

Palermo

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).