Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Club Brugge
18.6%
Draw
32.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Club Brugge
vs
2.04
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS79.7%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.583.0%
Over 3.566.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
4-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).