Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Valladolid
25.6%
Draw
34.5%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Valladolid
vs
1.28
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).