Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Alessandria
29.2%
Draw
21.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Alessandria
vs
0.87
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).