Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Harrogate
26.4%
Draw
52.2%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Harrogate
vs
1.41
Walsall
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).