Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Zaragoza
30.4%
Draw
27.9%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Zaragoza
vs
0.86
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).