⚽ FootballData
5 – 1
HHT: 11CSV

02 May 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
48.4%
Konyaspor
31.8%
Draw
19.8%
Karagumruk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Konyaspor

vs
0.93

Karagumruk

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).