Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Brest
22.4%
Draw
20.6%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Brest
vs
0.93
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).