Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Carlisle
24.7%
Draw
44.7%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Carlisle
vs
1.49
Salford
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).